Thesis

Yemen: Comparative Insurgency and Counterinsurgency

by Ryan Johnson

1 rip

Masters thesis — Naval Postgraduate School, 2015. Full text: https://archive.org/details/yemencomparative1094545200

Arguments (1)

argument #372

Yemen: Comparative Insurgency and Counterinsurgency

Written in March 2015 as the Houthis captured Sanaa, it diagnosed the exact resilience mechanisms — mass mobilization plus pragmatic alliances — that explain how the Houthis survived a decade of war and now hold the Red Sea chokepoint.

Yemen's counterinsurgency and counterterrorism policies were less effective against the Houthi movement than against AQAP because of four factors: the military's poor COIN/CT policies, the international effort's focus on AQAP, the Houthis' ability to recruit and mobilize large numbers of followers, and the Houthi leadership's pragmatic alliances — together these gave the Houthis the advantage over both AQAP and the Yemeni government.

Why it matters

Written in March 2015 as the Houthis captured Sanaa, it diagnosed the exact resilience mechanisms — mass mobilization plus pragmatic alliances — that explain how the Houthis survived a decade of war and now hold the Red Sea chokepoint.

Use when: Counterinsurgency fails when it fights the wrong enemy first — the international fixation on AQAP left the Houthis room to out-organize and out-ally everyone.

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